Thursday, 31 May 2012

Market Update On 1st June 2012


FLAT MARKET IN LINE WITH REST OF ASIAN MARKETS.....NOW FOR TODAY

4880 NF WILL ACT AS LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS...ON BOUNCE 4930 NF FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS

SAME RANGE WHICH WE GAVE YOU YESTERDAY AND WHOLE DAY BULLS OR BEARS WERE NOT ABLE TO BREAK IT...SO UNLESS BULLS OR BEARS BREAK IT TODAY.... ..NO FURTHER MOVES FROM THEM.....WATCH

Tuesday, 29 May 2012

Market Update On 30 th may 2012

WEAK MARKET ON EXPECTED LINES REMEMBER WE HAD ASKED YOU YESTERDAY TO AVOID ANY OVERNIGHT BUYING...NOW FOR TODAY

4920 NF WILL ACT AS LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS...ON BOUNCE 4980 NF FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS..

FOCUS SHOULD BE ON USD/INR..WHICH IS TRADING AGAIN HIGHER AT 56-35 CAN ACT AS PRESSURE FOR BULLS
EUROPE FUTURES WHICH IS TRADING WEAK ITS OPENING AND TRADING AT 12-30 PM WILL HOLD CRUCIAL KEY FOR MARKET....WATCH
 

Weelky Update On 28th may

In our last weekly update, we had mentioned that the last upmove in NIFTY from the low of 4789 to fizzle out by tuesday @ (4975 - 5000) level and expected the NIFTY to fall back to 4800 - 4825 by thursday / frinday. Accordingly NIFTY made its weekly high @ 4956 on tuesday and fell down to 4804 on wednesday. It recovered towards the end of the week and closed @ 4920.

In the current week, NIFTY has strong resistance @ 4971 - 5040 - 5075 . Support on downside will be visible @ 4825 - 4775 - 4725.


WAVECOUNT 1 : 90% PROBABILITY 

If the rally in NIFTY, which began from the low of 4804 friday, peaks out on monday @ around 4971 as 4971 is a very strong resistance and it may not rise above 4980. Hence if the NIFTY is unable to rise above 4980 and breaks below 4930, then the NIFTY can have a fall back to around 4800 - 4775 levels in the next 3-5 days. In such a scenario NIFTY will have a sharp 100+ points fall on tuesday. After a panic stricken fall of 150 points from the weekly high, any 3-5 day fall to 4800 - 4775, will be a good buying opportunity with a loose stop loss of around 4725, for higher targets of 5000 - 5050 in the next upmove.


WAVE COUNT 2 : 10% PROBABILITY

If the NIFTY manages to move above 4980, then it can move upto higher targets of 5075 during the week where it can meet fresh resistance.
TRADING STRATEGY :
Check If NIFTY stays below 4980 on monday & then breaks the low of 4930. In such a scenario, NIFTY can be sold with a stop loss of  monday high or 4980 for a sharp 100 - 150 points fall in the next 2 - 3 days to levels of 4800 - 4775, where NIFTY can be bought for higher targets in the next week.

Monday, 21 May 2012


Market Update on 22 may 2012

HIGHER MARKET IN LINE WITH REST OF WORLD.....NOW FOR TODAY

4950 NF WILL ACT AS FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS....ON FALLS...4890 NF LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS.

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS
keep eye on..europe opening which is crucial to lead the rally further
usd/inr..which has fallen after rbi steps how far it correct or again rbi steps prove to just hoax as it had been in past..if it rises again then pressure for market...WATCH

Sunday, 20 May 2012

Market Update On 21 May:

 FLAT TO +VE MARKET IN LINE WITH MANY ASIAN MARKET...WITH DOW FUTURES UP 60.....NOW FOR TODAY

4920 NF WILL ACT AS FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS.....ON FALLS...4870 NF...LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS
points to track...ruppee/dollar .(inr/usd)..if it rises more then bad for bulls
european markets..how it opens and trades will lead further trigger

Thursday, 17 May 2012

Market Update On 18th May 2012:

 WEAK MARKET ON EXPECTED LINE AND IN LINE WITH WORLD MARKETS.....WHERE EUROPE PROBLEMS ARE NOW MULTIPLYING.....NOW FOR TODAY

4760 NF WILL ACT AS LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS....WHILE ON BOUNCE 4820 NF WILL ACT AS FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS

some close watch should be on rupee/dollar..which is making new highs
europe which will open lower but how will it trade if breaks more then more pressure will come if some recovery seen there then some relief after europe opening can come...WATCH

Wednesday, 16 May 2012

Market On 17 may 2012

HIGHER MARKET IN LINE WITH REST OF ASIA...WITH REPORTS COMING FROM GREECE THAT PROBLEM THERE CAN BE DELAYED...BRINGING SOME RESPITE TO...WORLD..EVEN DOW FUTURES ARE HIGHER BY 40-00 .....NOW FOR TODAY

4910 NF WILL ACT AS FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS.......ON FALLS...4850 NF LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS....

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS
here keep watch on rupee/dollar rate.(usd/inr)...if it improves means this rate falls..it will be better for bulls otherwise again problems

Market Update:

RAKESH JHUNJHUN WALA THE BIG BULL IS DOING HEAVY BUYING THESE DAYS IN HIS STOCKS..IN LAST DAYS HE BOUGHT 50 LAC PRIME FOCUS...10 LAC GEOMETRIC SOFTWARE...AND 2 % MORE STAKE IN APTECH

HIS ONE STOCK WE ARE HAVING EYE ON IS....DELTA CORP...IN DELIVERY..IF COMES NEAR...40-00 LEVEL BUY DELIVERY AND HOLD..FOR TARGET OF 70-00 +
IT IS NOW TRADING AT 50-00 KEEP TRACK OF IT.....WATCH

Thursday, 10 May 2012


20 GOLDEN RULES FOR TRADERS

Want to trade successfully? Just choose the good positions and avoid the bad ones. Poor trade selection takes a heavy toll as it bleeds your confidence and wallet. You face many crossroads during each market day. Without a system of discipline for your decision-making, impulse and emotion will undermine skills as you chase the wrong stocks at the worst times.

Many short-term players view trading as a form of gambling. Without planning or discipline, they throw money at the market. The occasional big score reinforces this easy money attitude but sets them up for ultimate failure. Without defensive rules, insiders easily feed off these losers and send them off to other hobbies.

Technical Analysis teaches traders to execute positions based on numbers, time and volume.This discipline forces traders to distance themselves from reckless gambling behavior. Through detached execution and solid risk management, short-term trading finally "works".

Markets echo similar patterns over and over again. The science of trend allows you to build systematic rules to play these repeating formations and avoid the chase:

1. Forget the news, remember the chart. You're not smart enough to know how news will affect price. The chart already knows the news is coming.

2. Buy the first pullback from a new high. Sell the first pullback from a new low. There's always a crowd that missed the first boat.

3. Buy at support, sell at resistance. Everyone sees the same thing and they're all just waiting to jump in the pool.

4. Short rallies not selloffs. When markets drop, shorts finally turn a profit and get ready to cover.

5. Don't buy up into a major moving average or sell down into one. See #3.

6. Don't chase momentum if you can't find the exit. Assume the market will reverse the minute you get in. If it's a long way to the door, you're in big trouble.

7. Exhaustion gaps get filled. Breakaway and continuation gaps don't. The old traders' wisdom is a lie. Trade in the direction of gap support whenever you can.

8. Trends test the point of last support/resistance. Enter here even if it hurts.

9. Trade with the TICK not against it. Don't be a hero. Go with the money flow.

10. If you have to look, it isn't there. Forget your college degree and trust your instincts.

11. Sell the second high, buy the second low. After sharp pullbacks, the first test of any high or low always runs into resistance. Look for the break on the third or fourth try.

12. The trend is your friend in the last hour. As volume cranks up at 3:00pm don't expect anyone to change the channel.

13. Avoid the open. They see YOU coming sucker

14. 1-2-3-Drop-Up. Look for downtrends to reverse after a top, two lower highs and a double bottom.

15. Bulls live above the 200 day, bears live below. Sellers eat up rallies below this key moving average line and buyers to come to the rescue above it.

16. Price has memory. What did price do the last time it hit a certain level? Chances are it will do it again.

17. Big volume kills moves. Climax blow-offs take both buyers and sellers out of the market and lead to sideways action.

18. Trends never turn on a dime. Reversals build slowly. The first sharp dip always finds buyers and the first sharp rise always finds sellers.

19. Bottoms take longer to form than tops. Fear acts more quickly than greed and causes stocks to drop from their own weight.

20. Beat the crowd in and out the door. You have to take their money before they take yours, period.


Markets Live: Nifty keeps head above 5000; Rupee above 53

RBI steps in
To curb the slide in the rupee, the Reserve Bank of India has asked exporters to convert 50% of their dollars held in Exchange Earner's Foreign Currency (EEFC) accounts into rupee. The central bank has also ruled that exporters can henceforth access the forex market for buying dollars only after they have utilized the balance in their EEFC accounts.
The Sensex was up 156.88 points or 0.95% at 16636.46, and the Nifty was up 52.35 points or 1.05% at 5027.15. About 1434 shares advanced, 865 shares declined, and 1122 shares remain unchanged.
Sectoral Check
Metal shares shine in trade after recent fall, with private sector aluminium major Hindalco Industries gaining for third straight session on strong Q4 sequential growth. ArcelorMittal, the world's largest steelmaker, reaffirmed its earnings guidance for the first half of the year at the time of unveiling Q1 March 2012 results today.
Capital goods stocks were in limelight on bargain hunting after recent slide. Auto stocks were on buyers radar after recent losses triggered by most auto companies reporting tepid sales growth for April 2012.
Earnings Corner
Power generation major NTPC rose ahead of its FY 2012 results today. Pharma major Cipla too advanced ahead of its Q4 results.
In the largecap space, heavyweights like IDFC, Cairn India, BHEL, Axis Bank and Kotak Mahindra were trading in green. Ranbaxy Labs, Maruti Suzuki, PNB, Infosys and Asian Paints were bleeding in red.
News across the globe
China's exports grew 4.9% in April from a year earlier, data showed on Thursday, weaker than a 8.5% increase forecast and down from March's rise of 8.9%. Annual growth of 0.3% in imports last month also missed expectations for an 11% increase.
"Chinese trade data for April came in surprisingly weak, with both export and import growth disappointing ...indicating weakening external demand and suggesting that strengthening of the yuan in the past few years has undermined China's competitiveness," said Dariusz Kowalczyk, senior economist and strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong.
The Australian dollar initially strengthened on strong jobs data, which scaled back expectations for further aggressive monetary easing. But with the currency sensitive to data from China, the biggest export market, the gains were pared by Beijing's fresh trade numbers.
The Aussie last stood up 0.4% at $1.0079, slipping from an earlier high of $1.0120. On Wednesday, it touched $1.0021, its lowest since December 20.
Australian employment far outpaced expectations by adding 15,500 in April while the unemployment rate surprisingly dipped to 4.9%.
Crude slips further
Oil fell as weak Chinese trade data fuelled concerns about demand, sending US crude down 0.4% at $96.38 a barrel and Brent down 0.5% at $112.66 a barrel.
Europe vaccum feared
Global shares slid for a sixth day while safe-haven US and German government debt rose on Wednesday on fears a political vacuum in Greece could put the highly indebted country on course for insolvency and exiting from the euro.
The euro turned around also from an earlier weakness, rising 0.1% at $1.2940. But it hovered near $1.29115 hit on Wednesday, its lowest since January 23, indicating markets remain wary over developments in the euro zone, which have fallen short of convincing investors to be risk-positive.

Tuesday, 8 May 2012

Nifty fut trading call

Sell NF below 4980 T 4965-4940-4910 SL 5020

Market Update for 9th May

TWO DAYS BACK NIFTY HAS BROKEN THE IMPORTANT 
LEVEL OF 5135  AND IT SHOULD CLOSE ABOVE 5150 IN 48 HOURS 
BUT NIFTY FAILED DO THIS YESTERDAY SO ONE CAN SEE THE PANIC
IN THE MARKET NOW EXTENDED WAVE OF CORRECTION WILL BE
OVER AROUND 4890 .

FIRST ATTACK BY BULLS TO CROSS...5K NF...BUT BEARS FIGHT AT 4999 NF...NOW DOWN TO 4990 NF...AS WORLD MARKETS ASIA IS WEAK...RUPPE/ DOLLAR MAKING NEW HIGHS..SO BEARS HAVE ADVANTAGE TO FIGHT TODAY AND EARLY MORNING BEARS HAVE SHORTED MORE THAN 3 LAC NIFTY 5000 CALLS IN JUST 30 MINS..SO FULL PRESSURE BEING BUILD ON BULLS....WATCH....HERE REMEMBER UNLESS BULLS CROSS OUR HURDLE OF 5020 NF...NO BIG RELIEF FOR BULLS

Nifty trade call

High risk call:
 Sell Nifty Fut only below 5065 T 5050-5035-5010 SL 5092
IRB INRA

CBI will conduct polygraph test on the companys chairman and managing director Virendra Mhaiskar in a murder case

PLAY WITH CAUTION ON THIS STOCK...MADE LOW OF 119 AND DID HIGH OF 127
AFTER HEAVY FALL YESTERDAY..NOW TRADING AT 124-00 WATCH

Monday, 7 May 2012

Tuesday, May 8, 2012

LITTLE WEAK MARKET ON EXPECTED LINES AS TOLD YOU YESTERDAY EVENING THAT THOUGH FM HAS PUT GAAR IMPLEMENTATION BY 1 YEAR EVEN THEN FII'S WERE NOT BULLISH YESTERDAY AND THEY SOLD NET IN CASH AND STOCK FUTURES.......NOW FOR TODAY

5140 NF WILL ACT AS FIRST HURDLE OF BULLS...ON FALLS....5080 NF WILL ACT AS LAST HOPE SUPPORT OF BULLS.

ONLY BREAKING THIS RANGE WILL SET FURTHER MOVES FROM BULLS OR BEARS....WATCH